Updated college football recruiting class of 2025 national rankings by blue-chip ratio entering July (2024)

Ben Kenney

July 5, 2024 7:40 am CT

The class of 2025 recruiting cycle is in a dead period at the start of July. The blitz of official visits and in-person contact pauses, allowing many of the class’ top players to weigh their options and decide on their college commitment.

The current On3 national rankings entering July reflect how a typical recruiting cycle usually looks. Ohio State is way out ahead at No. 1, followed by new-look Alabama at No. 2, LSU at No. 3, Georgia at No. 4, Oregon at No. 5, Clemson at No. 6, Notre Dame at No. 7, at No. 8, Oklahoma at No. 9 and Florida State at No. 10.

Related: Big Ten football 2024 Las Vegas win totals, picks: Record predictions for the entire 18-team conference

The nation’s top 10 is filled with the sport’s traditional powers and is followed by more of those powers. The only noteworthy inclusion is Oregon, which is currently recruiting at a national championship-caliber level under head coach Dan Lanning.

More movement is sure to happen as some of the more prestigious programs fill their groups with some of the top recruits in the cycle. But the class’ final rankings will likely include some combination of those 10 teams listed.

This July check-in is noteworthy because of the importance of the June official visit period — and because of the strong correlation between overall recruiting success and on-field winning. It is no coincidence that the list of college football national champions nearly identically reflects the recruiting standings from years prior. Winning on the recruiting trail does not guarantee winning, but no team has won at the highest level without first compiling years of top-end classes.

Bud Elliott’s blue-chip ratio describes this correlation. No team has won a national title without at least half of its roster comprised of former four- and five-star recruits — or better than a 50% blue-chip threshold. That stat was tested by TCU (2022) and Washington (2023), but both teams lost in the national title game.

No team has ever won the sport’s biggest prize without the requisite percentage of blue-chip players.

So, we’re looking at On3’s national team recruiting rankings for the class of 2025 through that lens. Here are those rankings, ordered by the highest blue-chip percentage. Wisconsin, surprisingly, makes the list:

Florida State Seminoles

Dec. 30, 2023; Miami Gardens, Florida; Florida State Seminoles head coach Mike Norvell reacts against the Georgia Bulldogs during the second half in the 2023 Orange Bowl at Hard Rock Stadium. Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

Blue-Chip Ratio: 100%

Blue-Chip Players:10 (one five-star)

Commits:10

Average Player Rating: 91.17

National Ranking: No. 9

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Oregon Ducks

Nov. 18, 2023; Tempe, Arizona; Oregon Ducks head coach Dan Lanning (center) leads quarterback Bo Nix (10) and Ty Thompson (13) onto the field for the game against the Arizona State Sun Devils at Mountain America Stadium. Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

Blue-Chip Ratio: 93.33%

Blue-Chip Players:14 (three five-stars)

Commits:15

Average Player Rating:92.52

National Ranking: No. 3

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LSU Tigers

Jan. 1, 2024; Tampa, Florida; LSU Tigers head coach Brian Kelly and quarterback Garrett Nussmeier (13) talk on the podium after the game against the Wisconsin Badgers at the Reliaquest Bowl at Raymond James Stadium. Matt Pendleton-USA TODAY Sports

Blue-Chip Ratio: 92.31%

Blue-Chip Players:12 (two five-stars)

Commits:13

Average Player Rating:92.44

National Ranking: No. 5

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Georgia Bulldogs

Dec. 30, 2023; Miami Gardens, Florida; Georgia Bulldogs head coach Kirby Smart and running back Kendall Milton (2) react after the 2023 Orange Bowl at Hard Rock Stadium. Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports

Blue-Chip Ratio: 88.24%

Blue-Chip Players:15 (two five-stars)

Commits:17

Average Player Rating:91.64

National Ranking: No. 4

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Clemson Tigers

Sept. 30, 2023; Syracuse, New York; Clemson head coach Dabo Swinney reacts in the fourth quarter against Syracuse at JMA Wireless Dome. Ken Ruinard-USA TODAY Sports

Blue-Chip Ratio: 84.62%